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Analyzing the nonlinear impact of climate change on labor productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa
This research examines the nonlinear effects of climate change on labour productivity across 29 Sub-Saharan African countries between 1994 and 2018. Using the System Generalized Method of Moments, it identifies an inverted U-shaped relationship where extreme heat and excessive precipitation significantly diminish productivity, necessitating climate-resilient infrastructure and adaptive policies.
Locally led adaptation in African communities: Insights from practice
This report examines practitioners' experiences of locally led adaptation (LLA) in Africa. It emphasises the necessity of social equity, the integration of indigenous knowledge, and the role of local institutions. It offers strategic recommendations for governments and funders to decentralise climate finance and support community-driven resilience initiatives effectively.
Growing resilience: Nature-based solutions for adaptation
This report assesses eleven Nature-based Solutions projects in Sub-Saharan Africa using the IUCN Global Standard. It evaluates contributions to climate adaptation, biodiversity, and gender equality. Key recommendations include integrating maladaptation risk assessments, extending project timelines, and aligning local actions with national policy frameworks to ensure sustainable resilience.
Nature stress test: Assessing exposure of five African banking systems
This report evaluates nature-related financial risks for banking systems in Ghana, Mauritius, Morocco, Rwanda, and Zambia. It demonstrates that an orderly transition to nature-positive practices significantly reduces profit and credit losses. Key sectors like agriculture and mining are most vulnerable, requiring coordinated regulatory and financial action.
How DFI private capital mobilisation can support local capital market development in Africa
This report examines how development finance institutions (DFIs) can mobilise private capital to strengthen African local capital markets. It details six key interventions, including anchoring issuances and technical assistance. It further provides a country classification framework to help DFIs prioritise engagement in markets with the greatest potential for scale.
Enabler accountability: Assessing measures taken against professionals implicated in cases of illicit financial flows from Africa
This research examines the accountability of professional enablers involved in illicit financial flows from Africa. Findings reveal a substantial accountability gap, with successful criminal outcomes in only 2% of observations. The report highlights regulatory loopholes and recommends systemic prioritisation of enabler investigations by enforcement agencies and supervisors.
Gender-disaggregated data for inclusive regulation playbook: From gender data to regulatory action
This playbook assists financial regulatory authorities to transition from collecting gender-disaggregated data to using it systematically in supervision and policymaking. Drawing on research in Nigeria and Tanzania, it outlines a three-phase approach—discovery, ideation, and prototype advancement—supported by a framework of eleven foundations to ensure effective, inclusive regulation.
Investing in Southern Africa’s bioeconomy: A regional pathway for value creation, resilience and green industrialisation
This report examines the potential for the Southern African Development Community (SADC) to transition from raw resource extraction to a value-creating bioeconomy. Identifying six high-growth sectors, it highlights opportunities for green industrialisation and advocates for regional policy harmonisation and innovative financing through the African Bioeconomy Finance Hub.
Advancing rights-based and community-led conservation in Africa: Evidence, lessons, and recommendations
This research examines rights-based and community-led conservation in Africa, demonstrating that community management on lands under customary tenure is essential for biodiversity. It identifies key success factors, evaluates formal and informal initiatives, and provides recommendations for governments to integrate these approaches into national biodiversity strategies and financing plans.
Adaptation Insights 02: Investing in nature: Pathways to scale investments in nature-based solutions for climate adaptation
This report examines pathways to scale nature-based solutions for climate adaptation, highlighting their superior benefit-cost ratios compared to traditional infrastructure. It identifies strategies to mobilise private capital, utilise standardised valuation metrics, and leverage carbon markets to support long-term maintenance and resilience across vulnerable regions, particularly in Africa.
Soldiers of misfortune: Mercenaries and digital propaganda in Africa
This report investigates the intersection of mercenary groups and digital propaganda in Africa. It details how organisations like the Wagner Group utilise AI-driven disinformation and "regime survival packages" to sustain authoritarian rule. The paper recommends stricter platform accountability and enhanced digital literacy to protect democratic institutions across the continent.
Beyond sovereignty: Nationally led crisis response in East Africa
This report examines the transition towards nationally led crisis response in East Africa. It identifies barriers within international aid structures while highlighting progress in sub-national governance, social protection, and civil society. Recommendations focus on strengthening state accountability and equitable partnerships across Kenya, Somalia, Uganda, South Sudan, and Ethiopia.
International credit to Africa
This research examines the rapid expansion of international credit to Africa since the Global Financial Crisis. It highlights the rise of Chinese lending under the Belt and Road Initiative, the dramatic growth of international bond issuance, and the continued dominance of governments as borrowers in US dollar-denominated markets.
Green trade, regional value chains and new partnerships for cooperation: Accelerating green industrialisation through partnerships with a focus on Africa
This briefing paper examines how green trade and regional value chains can accelerate African industrialisation. It outlines opportunities within the AfCFTA and the African Green Industrialisation Initiative, emphasising the need for de-risking instruments, institutional capacity building, and new partnership frameworks to align international capital with Africa’s sustainable development goals.
Clean economic corridors in Africa: Integrating energy, industry, and transport for low carbon growth
This report examines the development of integrated energy-industry-transport corridors in Africa to foster low-carbon growth. It details strategies for decarbonising logistics and manufacturing, particularly in steel and cement. By linking industrial hubs with renewable energy, African nations can enhance regional trade, competitiveness, and sustainable economic development.
Responsible investing maturity matrix: Emerging markets
A maturity framework for VC funds and LPs to assess ESG and responsible investment integration across emerging market fund operations.