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Loss of competitive strength in European conifer species under climate change
This study uses deep learning to analyse the impact of climate change on the competitiveness of nine major European tree species. Findings indicate significant loss of competitive strength for evergreen conifers, potentially leading to a reassembly of 25% of Europe's forests as deciduous broadleaved species become more dominant.
Arctic climate tipping points under delayed CO2 emissions mitigation
This research analyses Arctic climate responses to CO2 emission cessation using Earth system modelling. It identifies a critical tipping threshold at 1700 PgC, beyond which the Arctic transitions from warming to abrupt cooling. This shift is driven by the collapse of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and amplified feedback processes.
Pollution monitoring and the pricing of environmental risk in firms
This study investigates China's air quality monitoring rollout, showing that increased pollution salience prompts financial analysts to produce more environmental research. This leads to market repricing, with brown firms facing valuation losses and green firms seeing gains, representing 5% of total market capitalisation and enhancing price efficiency.
Supercharging transmission buildout
Nexa Advisory examines regulatory barriers hindering Australia’s transmission expansion. The report argues the existing Regulatory Investment Test for Transmission (RIT-T) lacks accountability, causing significant delays. It recommends declaring "Critical National Projects" to streamline delivery, ensuring power system reliability and lower costs for consumers during the clean energy transition.
Know your grid: How cleaner electricity shapes real estate capital planning
This report explores how grid decarbonisation trajectories influence real estate capital planning. By linking asset-level performance with power sector projections, it identifies optimal sequencing for electrification and efficiency investments. It demonstrates that rapid action is essential for assets on slow-moving grids to mitigate cumulative emission risks.
Expanding social security coverage in the informal economy: China’s experience and lessons
This report analyses strategies for extending social security to informal workers, comparing China’s transition to near-universal coverage with evolving systems in Kenya and Lao PDR. It highlights the role of digital transformation, fiscal subsidies, and pilot programmes in overcoming barriers to inclusive, sustainable social protection systems.
The gender pay gap in Bangladesh: Trends, causes and policy options
This report analyses the gender pay gap in Bangladesh, finding women earn 22 to 25 per cent less than men. Driven by structural discrimination and unequal care burdens, the gap persists despite legal frameworks. Recommendations include objective job evaluations, cost-sharing for maternity benefits, and strengthened labour inspection.
Poverty and public finance: A primer
This report provides a foundational guide for public finance professionals on defining, measuring, and addressing poverty. It explains the relationship between fiscal policy and household well-being, highlighting the use of fiscal incidence analysis and micro-simulation. The primer aims to integrate poverty reduction strategies into core financial planning.
Impact Investing: A Guide for Community Foundations
A practical guide by Parry Field Lawyers designed for community foundations, providing legal and strategic frameworks to implement impact investing and generate social returns.
Generative debunking of climate misinformation
This research introduces 'generative debunking' using large language models to combat climate misinformation. By synthesising psychological best practices with computational tools, the study develops three models using the 'truth sandwich' approach. Expert evaluation indicates that structured prompting and retrieval-augmented generation significantly improve the identification and explanation of logical fallacies.
Public procurement and AI governance: Developing a strategic framework for middle powers
This report evaluates how 'AI middle powers' can use public procurement as a strategic governance tool to mitigate risks from foreign-led frontier AI. It proposes a framework of contractual guarantees and recommends international coordination to increase bargaining leverage, enhance visibility, and secure data sovereignty against technological dependencies.
Measuring what matters: A practical framework to integrate health into urban climate action
This report introduces a practical framework for integrating health co-benefits into urban climate monitoring. It details a five-step process for selecting robust indicators across air pollution, active travel, and sustainable diets. The framework helps cities justify climate policies, enhance accountability, and strengthen public support through evidence-based decision-making.
Beyond sovereignty: Nationally led crisis response in East Africa
This report examines the transition towards nationally led crisis response in East Africa. It identifies barriers within international aid structures while highlighting progress in sub-national governance, social protection, and civil society. Recommendations focus on strengthening state accountability and equitable partnerships across Kenya, Somalia, Uganda, South Sudan, and Ethiopia.
Asking better questions on nature: For chief financial officers
This guide helps Chief Financial Officers integrate nature-related issues into financial decision-making. It outlines how to identify dependencies, assess risks and opportunities, and respond to evolving disclosure expectations. The report emphasises nature as a core driver of performance, resilience and long-term value creation within the TNFD framework.
Mobility Diagnosis
Mobility Diagnosis is an open-source territorial analysis tool supported by ADEME. It helps local authorities and planners design decarbonised transport strategies by centralising data on travel practices and geographical profiles.
Collection of Open-Access CARMINE Publications
A comprehensive repository of open-access research and deliverables from the CARMINE project, providing advanced climate-risk assessment methodologies and case study data to support environmental resilience and informed financial risk analysis.