Library | ESG issues
Systemic Risk Management
Systemic risk refers to the possibility that an event at the company level could trigger severe instability or collapse in an entire industry or economy. It extends beyond individual failures, encompassing large-scale threats such as climate change, natural disasters, inflation, geopolitical crises, and pandemics. Effective systemic risk management requires proactive monitoring, regulatory safeguards, and resilience strategies to mitigate risks and ensure financial stability in an increasingly complex and uncertain global landscape.
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Finance for Biodiversity Foundation feedback on the draft Global Report of Collective Progress: Recommendations for guiding financial system transformation under the Global Biodiversity Framework
The Finance for Biodiversity Foundation provides feedback on the draft Global Report of Collective Progress. It highlights implementation gaps across finance-related targets and proposes recommendations to accelerate financial system transformation. Key areas include mandatory nature disclosures, subsidy reform, and the integration of nature-related risks into financial supervision.
Too hot to work? How rising heat affects companies, productivity and economic output
This MSCI research explores the economic impact of rising temperatures on labour productivity. It estimates global annual losses of USD 3.9 trillion under current conditions, potentially reaching 3.3% of global GDP. Asia-Pacific and the real estate sector face the highest risks, while company adaptation remains inconsistent across global markets.
Artificial intelligence and climate change: balancing innovation and sustainability
This report examines the interaction between artificial intelligence and climate change, highlighting potential for mitigation and adaptation alongside significant environmental costs. It explores two technological trajectories—AI copilot and artificial general intelligence—while discussing implications for central banks regarding productivity, inflation, financial stability, and emerging global policy frameworks.
Who bears the transition risk? Uneven climate risk assessment of SMEs across German banking groups
This report examines how German banks assess climate transition risks, specifically for SMEs. It finds that private banks significantly increased risk weights for carbon-intensive firms after 2018, while cooperative and savings banks did not. The reliance on sector-level metrics suggests potential loan mispricing and systemic risks within regional banking groups.
The price of climate talk: Central bank communication, climate governance, and sovereign risk premia
This research examines how central bank climate communication affects 10-year sovereign bond yields. Using a dataset of over 17,000 speeches, it finds that climate-related discourse increases yields by making risks more salient. This effect is stronger in countries with independent central banks, reflecting the role of institutional credibility.
Building resilient global governance for an era of recurring crises
This report examines strategies for building resilient global governance amidst recurring transnational crises. It advocates for hybrid institutional complexes that balance robust and flexible institutions. By prioritising institutional diversity and leadership, governance systems can better absorb shocks, adapt through innovation, and prepare for future disruptions through institutional learning.
Investing in water-related and dependent infrastructure: Risks, considerations, and opportunities
This report examines water risks as systemic financial threats to infrastructure. It proposes a seven-step decision framework to integrate ecosystem services into project appraisal and financing. Through case studies in Africa and Asia, it advocates for hybrid green-grey solutions and innovative financial mechanisms to address the global water infrastructure gap.
Rethinking readiness: Enhancing the foundations for climate finance in fragile and conflict-affected situations
This report analyses climate finance readiness in fragile and conflict-affected situations. It identifies systemic barriers, including institutional instability and under-resourcing, that prevent readiness support from translating into finance. It proposes four principles to adapt readiness, advocating for a whole-of-government approach anchored in political and fiscal realities.
Maritime chokepoints and the global economy: Evidence from the Strait of Hormuz
This research examines the global economic consequences of maritime disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Utilising Portwatch data, the analysis demonstrates that traffic shocks act as stagflationary forces, significantly increasing energy prices, reducing global industrial production, and tightening financial conditions through widened corporate and sovereign bond spreads.
Living with fire and water: Resilience financing for natural infrastructure
This report proposes a resilience-financing architecture to fund natural infrastructure. By wrapping catastrophe bonds with government credit enhancement, it creates a spread to finance landscape-scale mitigation. This mechanism aims to preserve insurability, reduce systemic climate risk, and convert unpriced contingent liabilities into structured, capped financial positions.
The global rise of index-based ownership of firms
This research examines the global expansion of index-based ownership from 2004 to 2023. Using a benchmark-free classification model, the study finds global index ownership reached 16.9% by 2023. It highlights significant regional variations, noting that US ownership is highest in mid-caps, whereas European and Asian indexing remains concentrated in large-cap firms.
International credit to Africa
This research examines the rapid expansion of international credit to Africa since the Global Financial Crisis. It highlights the rise of Chinese lending under the Belt and Road Initiative, the dramatic growth of international bond issuance, and the continued dominance of governments as borrowers in US dollar-denominated markets.
Bank executive compensation and risk-taking
This research investigates bank executive compensation since the Great Financial Crisis. It finds that longer deferral horizons successfully reduce risk-taking and encourage prudent capital management. However, evidence regarding variable pay caps is inconclusive. Case studies from 2023 failures highlight governance shortcomings in risk-adjusting performance metrics and compensation schemes.
Scaling uptake of insurance in the Municipal Climate Resilience Toolkit: Discussion paper
This research explores scaling parametric insurance to enhance municipal climate resilience in emerging markets. It identifies key barriers to uptake, maps the existing support ecosystem, and proposes three priority actions to improve the financial viability and affordability of insurance solutions for subnational governments worldwide.
Chokepoint disruptions and their macroeconomic consequences
This report examines the macroeconomic consequences of global supply chain chokepoint disruptions. It finds that rising geopolitical tensions threaten critical nodes, causing significant output losses and price pressures. While substitution and inventories mitigate impacts, policy responses must consider a disruption's centrality and the private sector's capacity to adjust.
The New Supply-Side Era: The O-Ring Meets Geopolitics
The report examines how geopolitical tensions, supply chain vulnerabilities and technological developments increasingly drive economic volatility. It applies O-ring theory to explain how disruptions spread through production networks, affecting inflation, investment and financial markets. It highlights implications for monetary policy, corporate resilience and long-term risk assessment.
