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GOAL 14: Life Below Water

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The impact of climate change on fisheries

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
This study provides the first causal estimate of ocean temperature impacts on European fishing revenue. Using a novel Marine Degree Day metric, it finds that heat exposure is three times more damaging than cold. Projections suggest annual losses could reach €560 million by 2100, disproportionately affecting lower-income equatorial regions.
Research
4 November 2026

Circular solutions to achieve nature targets: circular economy as an enabler for Responsible Banking

United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI)
This guidance details how circular economy strategies help banks achieve nature-related targets under the Principles for Responsible Banking. It identifies specific circular interventions across marine, freshwater, and terrestrial ecosystems, highlighting the business case for financing transitions that reduce resource dependency and manage nature-related physical and transition risks.
Research
10 September 2026

Regulating finance for biodiversity: An assessment for the Global Biodiversity Framework, 2026

This report assesses financial regulations across eleven jurisdictions against Global Biodiversity Framework targets. It identifies a significant implementation gap, finding no jurisdiction requires full alignment of financial flows with biodiversity goals. Recommendations include integrating biodiversity into monetary policy, implementing binding double materiality disclosures, and establishing mandatory portfolio-alignment targets.
Research
13 October 2026

How exchanges can integrate nature into markets: An action plan

Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD)
This report provides an action plan for stock exchanges to integrate nature-related considerations into capital markets. It outlines a framework—establish, activate, enable, and educate—to help market participants manage dependencies and risks while mobilising capital for nature-positive outcomes and resilient economies.
Research
19 October 2026

Status of coral reefs of the world: 2025

International Coral Reef Initiative
This seventh GCRMN assessment reveals a 9.5% relative decline in global hard coral cover since 2009, driven by intensifying marine heatwaves. While reefs show recovery potential, shortening disturbance intervals threaten long-term resilience. The report provides a critical evidence base across 123 countries to inform global conservation policy.
Research
14 January 2026

The Green Scorpion: the macro-criticality of nature for finance

Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS)
This research establishes a framework for assessing physical nature-related financial risks through scenario-based analysis. It highlights that nature loss, particularly water-related risks, creates significant macro-criticality for economies, with potentially 7-9% of global GDP at risk. The paper provides building blocks for central banks to prioritise and mitigate these systemic risks.
Research
13 December 2023

The value of bottom trawling in Europe

This research assesses the societal value of bottom trawling in Europe, finding annual net costs up to €16 billion. Significant climate impacts from disturbed seabed carbon outweigh private profits. The study highlights substantial trawling within Marine Protected Areas and suggests redirecting subsidies to support an industry transition.
Research
28 April 2026

Mobilising private finance for nature: Learning from large-scale nature investment vehicles

Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment
This report analyses 54 nature investment vehicles to evaluate their effectiveness in mobilising institutional private capital. It identifies sector concentration in forestry and agriculture and highlights gaps in marine ecosystems. The findings emphasise the necessity of blended finance and technical assistance to scale nature-positive investments effectively.
Research
6 October 2026

Climate change is projected to widen global inequalities in ocean-derived wellbeing

This research introduces the Blue Well-being Index to assess ocean-derived prosperity across 143 countries. Projections under high-emission scenarios indicate a nine per cent global decline by 2100. Both high-income and low-income nations face disproportionate losses, necessitating coordinated international mitigation and conservation efforts to protect ocean health.
Research
24 September 2026

Asking better questions on nature: For bank chief risk officers and risk committees

Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD)
This guide helps bank chief risk officers and risk committees manage nature-related financial risks and opportunities. Developed by the TNFD and UNEP FI, it details how to integrate nature into risk frameworks, evaluate portfolio dependencies, and respond to evolving global regulations and investor expectations.
Research
15 September 2026

The climate-biodiversity-pollution nexus: The pricing of environmental credit risks for European industrial polluters

European Central Bank (ECB)
This study of 832 euro area banks indicates that lenders are increasingly factoring pollution-induced biodiversity risks into their decisions. Banks primarily mitigate these exposures by lowering loan-to-value ratios, particularly for companies operating near protected areas or those linked to water quality failures. This trend reflects growing regulatory and financial awareness.
Research
5 December 2025

Guidance on the identification and assessment of nature-related issues: The LEAP approach series

Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD)
The Guidance on the Identification and Assessment of Nature-related Issues: The LEAP Approach series, published by the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD), provides a structured methodology for organisations and financial institutions to identify, evaluate, manage and report nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks and opportunities.
Benchmark/series
15 October 2026

Indigenous ocean law: Marine title, rights and management

Canada Climate Law Initiative
This report explores Indigenous ocean law, critiquing Western legal frameworks while advocating for Indigenous-led marine management. It highlights the Haida Nation’s success in securing marine title through negotiation and litigation, and presents conceptual tools like keystone theory and the rights of nature to support sustainable ocean governance.
Research
29 May 2026

Nature-related financial risks and central bank risk management

This research examines how nature-related risks affect the financial system and central bank risk management. It provides empirical evidence of biodiversity risk pricing in Eurozone corporate bonds and proposes a four-stage framework—identification, assessment, mitigation, and disclosure—to help central banks protect their balance sheets and maintain financial stability.
Research
1 June 2024

Living in a world of disappearing nature: Physical risk and the implications for financial stability

European Central Bank (ECB)
This European Central Bank report analyses the financial stability risks of biodiversity loss in the euro area. It reveals that 75% of corporate loans are highly nature-dependent. Under adverse scenarios, potential bank losses from ecosystem degradation could nearly triple compared to sustainability-aligned pathways.
Research
8 November 2023

Nature-related financial risks: A conceptual framework to guide action by central banks and supervisors

This NGFS report provides a conceptual framework for central banks and supervisors to assess nature-related financial risks. It defines physical and transition risks and outlines a three-phase approach for risk identification, economic assessment, and financial system impact. Illustrative cases on the Amazon and Colorado River demonstrate the framework’s application.
Research
1 July 2024
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